2020/21 OUTRIGHT TIPS

TIP #2

8/1 OUTRIGHT FOUR-FOLD 

5 UNITS

Best Odds: 8.29/1 (William Hill) 

As far as 8/1 picks go. This has to be up there with one of the best I've seen to date. To the average gambler, this might just look like a few short-priced selections but to me, these all look overpriced, and this 8/1 combination carries some serious value. To find out why you can read my brief reasoning for each selection below. I've done my best to make sure it's as short and informative as possible.  

ROBERT LEWANDOWSKI - TOP BUNDESLIGA GOALSCORER @ 8/15

Robert Lewandowski is one of the greatest strikers to ever play in the Bundesliga with six Bundesliga titles and an average of one goal per 111 Minutes since his German League debut back in 2010. The instinctive polish striker was the prime candidate to lift the 2020 Ballon d'Or after a remarkable 2019/20 campaign scoring 34 Goals in 31 Bundesliga Appearances, that's 17 more goals than any other Bundesliga player that is set to feature this season. 

ATALANTA - TOP 4 FINISH (SERIE A) @ 8/13

Gian Piero Gasperini, the Italian manager that has injected success into the little team from Bergamo, Atalanta. Gasperini is known for using a fluid 3-4-3 formation and a spectacular high-risk hyper-offensive possession-based system. His style focuses more on scoring goals, off–the–ball movement, and quick, short passes on the ground, and less focus on long balls and the defensive aspect of the game; with energetic overlapping attacking wing-backs in lieu of wide midfielders, that provide width along the flanks and push up the pitch when going forward.

The Gasperini approach led to Atalanta achieving Champions League football for the first time in the club's history back in 2018/19. Fast forward to the 2019/20 Campaign and they finish the season just 5 points behind Champions Juventus after scoring a colossal 98 Goals in 38 League Games, an average of 2.6 goals per game. Gasperini is often criticized for his lack of defensive structure however Atalanta lost just 6/38 games. That's fewer games lost than the league Champions. 

Atalanta are a club that have finished in the top four three times in the past four seasons. This is no one-hit-wonder. This is a club whose revenues have more than quadrupled in the past four years. A club that did what so few Italian teams have been able to do. They built their own stadium, buying it off the local municipality and reconstructing it whilst exploiting their biggest, historical strength: their youth academy. 

Anybody who watched Atalanta last season will have learned a different way of playing and winning. Yes, they have received a welcome rise in finances but this is due to the courage, passion, and work ethic they have shown on the pitch. Nobody looks forward to playing Atalanta. They are dangerous and if you don't approach them correctly they will punish you, relentlessly. Atalanta have registered Winning score-lines such as 7-0, 7-2, 6-3, 6-2, and 5-0 in 2020 alone.  

TIP #1

Premier League Top Goalscorer: Timo Werner

3 UNITS

Best Odds: 12/1 (William Hill, Betvictor, Betfred)

German Striker Timo Werner Joined Chelsea for a £47.5 million deal from RB Leipzig in June. The 24-year-old is the perfect fit for Frank Lampard's Team and I'm expecting him to reach new heights in a Chelsea squad that will be set up to utilize his full potential and provide the service he needs for a high-scoring campaign. 

The license to play as a Sole Striker

At RB Leipzig Werner Played in a Young, Vibrant footballing side under Julian Nagelsmann. However, despite scoring 28 of Leipzig's 81 goals during the 2019/20 campaign, Werner was never their 'Sole' striker as such. Nagelsmann often opted for a 4-4-2 / 3-3-2-2 formation - Taking advantage of attacking overloads and a high press to win back the ball. This means Werner was almost always playing within a striker pairing and Leipzig's attack overload playing style led to Werner regularly being part of a four, even five-man attack at times. This explains why Leipzig would often outscore the opposition whilst conceding in the process.  

Now, At Chelsea, Frank Lampard Prefers to play a 4-3-3 / 3-4-3 formation and has spent the last season developing a system that exploits a single main striker. If we take a look at his latest 6 Premier League games below this gives us a clear indication of the playing style he is developing at Stamford Bridge and further confirms that he is continuously working towards playing with One main striker, whether that is with a winger either side or attacking midfielders, this is something that he tweaks each game but one thing we can be sure of is his desire to play with a sole striker. A system that brought Frank success under Jose Mourinho. 

Werner will take up the role of Tammy Abraham who registered an average of 3.58 shots per 90 minutes for Frank Lampard's Chelsea last season. That's considerably more shots per game than the likes of Vardy (2.58), Kane (2.71) & Aubameyang (2.58), suggesting Timo might just be the perfect fit for a Chelsea system that is crying out for an elite Striker. 

Will he need time to adapt to the Premier League?

How does he compare to current Premier League Strikers?

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

JOIN the Upper 90 Tips Fantasy Premier League for the upcoming season: